Well it’s officially the New Year and along with well-intentioned but insanely optimistic personal resolutions, we are also treated to a vast list of predictions for the coming year. Typically, these predictions focus on news, disasters, sports, celebrities or politics. I’ve been waiting for some industry specific oracles, but generally the most that appears from the IT gurus is focused on technology tools and toys. I don’t have any earth shattering personal resolutions to share this year, since they are all the same as last year. I do, however, feel compelled to share my predictions about the future of the IT industry as a whole – not technology and tools, but demand, careers and the evolving role of IT in society as a whole.
Information Technology is changing, and these changes are beginning to accelerate as society responds to economic and social pressures. Here are my predictions for trends we will start to see over the coming year in the IT industry:
We will see a DECREASE in… |
We will see an INCREASE in… |
|
1. |
RFPs issued for major IT projects |
RFRs for specific project roles with specialized skills/expertise. |
2.
|
Demand for network/server staff roles |
Contracted network/server/infrastructure services |
3. |
CIO/VP IT roles at executive level |
IT Director/Manager roles at operational level |
4. |
Enterprise Architecture and Technology Architecture within organizations |
Business Architecture and Information Architecture within organizations |
5. |
Trying to view IT as a ‘partner’ with business |
Viewing IT as an utility or contracted service |
6. |
Maintaining IT as a separate operational unit and cost centre within the enterprise |
Absorbing business-focused IT expertise into business units and supplementing with external contractors |
7. |
Custom application development by major organizations |
Identifying and adapting packaged solutions to meet key business requirements |
8. |
Maintaining IT resources and developers for key business applications |
Contracting with external providers for application hosting and maintenance |
9. |
Vendor controlled and defined products |
Client controlled agreements defined by service levels |
10. |
Considering IT as a distinct, specialized industry and profession |
Fragmentation of existing array of IT functions into specialized, distinct types of services |
So these are my predictions. Nothing earth shattering, I think, but not everyone will be comfortable with some of the direction stated here. Over the coming months, I’ll take each of these items and expand on it in my regular blog, to provide some context for the observations and hopefully generate some discussion. As the year progresses, we’ll see how close I am in each of these predictions!
January 5, 2010 at 9:21 pm
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January 7, 2010 at 10:45 pm
Talked with the City of Edmonton CIO (Chris J Moore) today. One thing was clear for 2010: open, open, open.
I think we’ll see a decrease in licensing with big companies(like Microsoft, etc), and a big push for open, third parties developing tools that use open data, and gov spending $100,000 on hiring third parties to polish an open-source tool instead of $500,000 in licensing fees for a finished app.
and we’ll see more user platform agnosticism(web based)
January 11, 2010 at 10:32 pm
Agreed – but those are all current trends and focused on technologies, and have been moving in that direction for awhile now, so it’s not really anything new. The move to open has been increasing over the past 5 years and is just coming into common accepted use now. We could expand on item 7., though, to say adapting packaged and open solutions (which I had in mind), but that’s a minor point.
The points you/Chris make are valid and are contributing to the industry (rather than technology) trends I’m predicting.
Thanks for commenting on the blog – I appreciate the feedback!
September 5, 2014 at 8:53 pm
You’ll be met with an earthquake and woof, then afterward go talk to Pua.
Once done, get back to Craven, retrieve your lens
and get back to camp. We sat near the lake, and enjoyed the beautiful view with about 2 other hikers.